Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 20 September 2026 at 01:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 40th strongest of the 42 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 8 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 19 at 6:52PM CDT until September 19 at 8:15PM CDT by NWS Midland/Odessa TX
Nearby, since 8 May 2026
- May 31, 2026 · score 22 · 4.0 km
- May 8, 2026 · score 22 · 7.8 km
- July 17, 2026 · score 22 · 9.0 km
How we know
2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.65/1 |
| Coordinates | 30.2973, -103.2520 |
| Nearest City | Manuel Ojinaga (139 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-19T23:52:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.3ca5dcb5954addd96db86e6301fc4630f505aa50.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-19T23:52:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-19T23:59:35.756Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-09-20T00:10:19.217Z · data_change
Index 16 → 16; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-20T00:05:00.558Z · data_change
Index 16 → 16; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Brewster, TX; Pecos, TX; Brewster, TX |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 19 at 6:52PM CDT until September 19 at 8:15PM CDT by NWS Midland/Odessa TX |
| Expires | 2026-09-19T20:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Midland/Odessa TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3ca5dcb5954addd96db86e6301fc4630f505aa50.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1bf1a8e732ba6ddf47a179758993a2753902482d.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | 72 |
| Spc Location | 4 NNW Belding |
| Spc County | Pecos |
| Spc State | TX |
| Spc Comments | The Belding mesonet site measured a thunderstorm wind gust of 72 mph. (MAF) |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"spc_wind_30.84_-103.04_21","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1789862920546,"latitude":30.84,"longitude":-103.04}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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